融合分岩性岩电实验与异构集成模型的砂砾岩储层含油饱和度预测
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1.油气藏地质及开发工程全国重点实验室西南石油大学四川 成都 6105002.中国石油天然气股份有限公司长庆油田分公司 陕西 西安 710020;2.中国石油天然气股份有限公司长庆油田分公司 陕西 西安 710020

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TE19

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中国石油科技创新基金(2023DQ02-0101);井周复杂结构体岩石力学参数预测新技术(2025JDRC0002)


XIONG Jian, XIANYU Hao-fan LIU Jing-yan, LIU Xiang-jun, LIANG Lixi,DING Yi,ZHANG Tao
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1.Southwest Petroleum University;2.State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation, Southwest Petroleum University;3.Changqing Oilfield Company,PetroChina,Xi’an,Shanxi 710020,China

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    摘要:

    含油饱和度是储层评价与油气资源量计算的重要参数。针对砂砾岩储层孔隙结构复杂、非均质性强导致含油饱和度预测精度受限的问题,本文提出了一种异构集成模型的含油饱和度预测方法。首先,利用实测岩心资料,针对砂岩、细砾和粗砾分别建立岩电参数模型,并结合阿尔奇公式计算含油饱和度,为机器学习模型提供具有岩石物理意义的训练标签。随后,以常规测井参数为输入,选取LightGBM、BP神经网络、GRNN和Dilateformer作为专家模型,构建异构集成模型,实现多模型协同预测。研究结果表明,所提方法在决定系数(R2)达0.92,优于传统经验公式及单一机器学习模型,能够有效降低砂砾岩储层非均质性对含油饱和度预测的影响,提高模型预测精度与泛化能力。该方法为强非均质砂砾岩储层含油饱和度智能预测提供了一种新的技术思路。

    Abstract:

    Oil saturation is an important parameter for reservoir evaluation and hydrocarbon resource estimation. To address the limited prediction accuracy of oil saturation caused by the complex pore structure and strong heterogeneity of conglomerate reservoirs, an oil saturation prediction method based on a heterogeneous ensemble model is proposed. First, electrical parameters were established separately for sandstone, fine conglomerate, and coarse conglomerate using core experimental data. Oil saturation was then calculated using the Archie equation to provide physically meaningful target labels for machine learning model training. Subsequently, conventional well-logging parameters were selected as input features, and LightGBM, Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), General Regression Ne[ ]ural Network (GRNN), and Dilateformer were employed as expert models to construct a heterogeneous ensemble framework for collaborative prediction. The results show that the proposed method achieves a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.92, outperforming both traditional empirical formulas and individual machine learning models. The proposed approach effectively mitigates the influence of reservoir heterogeneity on oil saturation prediction and improves both prediction accuracy and generalization performance. This study provides a reliable approach for oil saturation prediction in strongly heterogeneous conglomerate reservoirs.

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熊健,鲜于浩凡,刘敬言,等. 融合分岩性岩电实验与异构集成模型的砂砾岩储层含油饱和度预测[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-28
  • 最后修改日期:2026-09-24
  • 录用日期:2026-09-29
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