基于CNN-BiGRU-KAN的滚动轴承可解释剩余寿命预测
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兰州交通大学机电工程学院

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TH133.33;TP183

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国家自然科学基金(72361019);甘肃省重点研发计划(23YFGA0050)


Interpretable Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Rolling Bearings Based on CNN-BiGRU-KAN
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School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering,Lanzhou Jiaotong University

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    摘要:

    针对振动退化特征非线性强、时序依赖复杂的预测精度问题以及深度学习模型在滚动轴承剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测中预测结果可信度不足等问题,提出一种CNN-BiGRU-KAN可解释RUL预测方法。首先,所提方法从水平振动信号中提取12类时频域退化特征,采用滑动时间窗口构造监督学习样本。其次,利用一维CNN提取局部退化信息,借助BiGRU捕获前后向时序依赖,并引入Kolmogorov-Arnold网络增强深层特征与RUL之间的非线性映射能力。最后,采用SHAP方法量化输入特征对预测结果的贡献。试验结果表明,所提模型与CNN、Transformer、TCN和Transformer-BiLSTM等网络相比,平均绝对误差与均方根误差分别降低了17.06%和15.75%,决定系数平均提高了1.94%。SHAP解释结果表明:使用时间、振动均方根值、振动峰值和频谱平坦度对RUL预测贡献较大,且其作用方向与轴承运行时间增加、振动能量增强和寿命衰减规律一致,从特征贡献角度验证了模型预测依据的合理性与可信度。

    Abstract:

    Accurate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction for rolling bearings remains difficult because vibration degradation features are highly nonlinear and show complex temporal dependence. To improve prediction accuracy and reliability, an interpretable CNN-BiGRU-KAN method was proposed. First, 12 time-frequency degradation features were extracted from horizontal vibration signals, and supervised samples were constructed with a sliding time window. Then, local degradation information was extracted using a one-dimensional CNN, forward and backward temporal dependence was captured with BiGRU, and a Kolmogorov-Arnold network was introduced to enhance nonlinear mapping between deep features and RUL. SHAP was used to quantify feature contributions. The results show that, compared with CNN, Transformer, TCN, and Transformer-BiLSTM, the proposed model reduces MAE and RMSE by 17.06% and 15.75%, respectively, and improves R2 by 1.94% on average. SHAP results show that time, vibration RMS, vibration peak value, and spectral flatness contribute greatly to RUL prediction.

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齐金平,杨宏昊. 基于CNN-BiGRU-KAN的滚动轴承可解释剩余寿命预测[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-23
  • 最后修改日期:2026-09-18
  • 录用日期:2026-09-23
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