基于序贯主动迁移学习的边坡风险高效判识
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安徽理工大学矿业工程学院

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U416

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中国博士后科学基金面上项目(2020M681975)


Efficient Slope Risk Identification Based on Sequential Active Transfer Learning
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School of Mining Engineering,Anhui University of Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    公路边坡工程不仅需满足物理稳定要求,还需要符合设计规范中的安全储备标准。针对边坡可靠度分析中数值模拟计算成本高,且当前研究多聚焦于物理极限状态而难以支撑多阈值合规风险判识的问题,本文提出了一种基于序贯主动迁移学习(SATL)的边坡风险高效判识方法(SATL-SVM)。首先,采用判断强度折减法结合主动学习支持向量机(SVM)执行“以判代算”方法提高计算效率;随后构建序贯主动迁移学习策略,通过低阈值样本标签的“继承与重置”实现跨阈值样本复用与局部增量采样,从而完成不同安全系数阈值(T)下的边坡风险判识。最后,通过三个经典边坡案例验证所提方法的有效性。结果表明:在保证预测精度(与LHS基准解一致性良好)的同时,本文方法可显著降低多阈值可靠度分析的累计样本量,引入超越概率Pe(T)可以更加全面地揭示边坡的安全储备能力,实现物理失效风险与设计合规风险的量化评估。该方法可为公路边坡设计、加固与监测决策提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Slope engineering in highways must not only meet physical stability requirements but also comply with safety reserve standards in design codes. As the current slope reliability analysis often focuses on physical limit states with high computational cost of numerical simulation and struggles to support multi-threshold risk identification, this paper proposes an efficient slope risk identification method based on Sequential Active Transfer Learning (SATL-SVM). First, the Strength Reduction and Active Support Vector Machine methods are employed to improve computational efficiency through a judgment-based calculation approach. Then, a SATL strategy is constructed, enabling cross-threshold sample reuse and local incremental sampling through the inheritance and resetting of low-threshold sample labels. The slope risk identification under different safety factor thresholds (T) can be completed. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through three classic slope case studies. The results show that this method can significantly reduce the cumulative sample size for multi-threshold reliability analysis under reliable prediction accuracy (good consistency with the LHS solutions). The introduction of the exceedance probability Pe(T) enables a more comprehensive understanding of the safety reserve capacity of slopes. The proposed method can provide a reference for highway slope design, reinforcement, and monitoring decisions.

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杨宇哲,李宁. 基于序贯主动迁移学习的边坡风险高效判识[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

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  • 收稿日期:2026-03-16
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-22
  • 录用日期:2026-09-03
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