基于决策试行与评价实验室一Choquet 积分的航班运行风险评价
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X949

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国家自然科学基金民航联合研究基金(U1533112)、国家自然科学基金面上项目(61571441) 和科技部国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFB0502405)


Flight Operation Risk Assessment Based on DEMATEL-Choquet Integral
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National Natural Science Foundation Civil Aviation Joint Research Fund(U1533112)、National Natural Science Foundation of China(61571441)、Ministry of Science and Technology National Key Research and Development Program(2016YFB0502405)

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    摘要:

    为提高航空公司安全管理水平,提出一种基于决策实验室分析(DEMATEL)和Choquet Integral耦合的方法对航空公司航班运行风险进行评价。首先在识别航班运行风险因素的基础上,利用DEMATEL方法计算因素的综合影响矩阵。利用综合影响矩阵分别计算因素的影响度、被影响度、中心度和原因度,确定因素的因果属性并确定关键因素。在利用DEMATEL方法计算得到关键风险因素的基础上,利用Choquet Integra构建风险评价模型对航空公司航班运行风险进行综合评价。结果表明,该风险评价模型能够消除风险因素之间的关联性,实现航空公司航班运行风险的合理、有效评价。

    Abstract:

    In order to improve the safety management level of airlines, a method based on DEMATEL and Choquet integral coupling is proposed to evaluate the flight operation risk of airlines. Firstly, on the basis of identifying the flight operation risk factors of airline, the DEMATEL method is used to calculate the comprehensive impact matrix of factors. The comprehensive influence matrix is used to calculate the degree of influence, the degree of influence, the degree of centrality and the degree of cause of the factors, and to determine the causal attributes of the factors and the key factors. On the basis of calculating the key risk factors by DEMATEL method, the risk evaluation model is built by Choquet integral to evaluate the flight operation risk of airlines comprehensively. The results show that the risk assessment model can eliminate the correlation between risk factors and achieve a reasonable and effective evaluation of airline flight operation risk.

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岳仁田,李君尉,韩亚雄. 基于决策试行与评价实验室一Choquet 积分的航班运行风险评价[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2020, 20(33): 13936-13941.
YUE Ren-tian, LI Jun-wei, HAN Ya-xiong. Flight Operation Risk Assessment Based on DEMATEL-Choquet Integral[J]. Science Technology and Engineering,2020,20(33):13936-13941.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-12-18
  • 最后修改日期:2020-09-15
  • 录用日期:2020-05-31
  • 在线发布日期: 2020-12-18
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