计及线路气象随机性的电网电热协调潮流模型
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TM743

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国家自然科学(51607091)和国家重点实验室开放基金课题(SGNR0000GZJS1705881)资助。


Power Flow Model Considering Electro-thermal Coupling under Random Weather Conditions on the line
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National Natural Science Foundation of China(51607091);Open Fund project of state key laboratory(SGNR0000GZJS1705881)

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    摘要:

    电热协调(Electro-thermal Coordination, ETC)潮流模型能够同时获得电网潮流和线路温度的计算结果,可为电网运行分析和决策制定提供有力支撑。然而,现有ETC潮流模型忽略了线路气象变化的随机性,无法描述线路气象对电网潮流和线路温度的随机影响。为此,本文提出了一种计及线路气象随机性的ETC潮流模型。该模型首先利用马尔科夫链方法对线路气象进行随机模拟,再以此对导线热平衡方程和潮流方程开展耦合求解,最后得到潮流分布和线路温度变化的统计规律。算例结果表明,所提ETC模型能够反映线路气象随机性对电网潮流和线路温度的影响,同时有效获取电网运行时的线路过热风险。

    Abstract:

    Electro-thermal Coordination (ETC) power flow model can obtain the calculation results of power flow and line temperature at the same time, which can provide a strong support for power network operation analysis and decision-making. However, the current ETC power flow model ignores the randomness of weather conditions on the overhead line and cannot describe the random influence of weather conditions on power flow and line temperature. Therefore, this paper proposes an ETC power flow model which takes into account the meteorological randomness of the line. Firstly, the Markov Chain method is employed to randomly simulate these weather conditions in the model, base on this then the coupling solving of the heat balance equation and the power flow equation is carried out, and finally obtains the statistical law of the power flow distribution and changes of the line temperature. A case study shows that the ETC model can reflect the influence of meteorological randomness on power flow and line temperature, and effectively obtain the risk of line overheating during power network operation.

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祖玮,应展烽,徐冰,等. 计及线路气象随机性的电网电热协调潮流模型[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2021, 21(5): 1849-1856.
Zu Wei, Ying Zhanfeng, Xu Bing, et al. Power Flow Model Considering Electro-thermal Coupling under Random Weather Conditions on the line[J]. Science Technology and Engineering,2021,21(5):1849-1856.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-05-06
  • 最后修改日期:2020-11-21
  • 录用日期:2020-07-04
  • 在线发布日期: 2021-03-18
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