基于变权理论的近零碳排放园区综合评价研究
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TU984

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国家自然科学基金项目(71403162);上海市科学技术委员会科研计划项目(18DZ203304)


Comprehensive evaluation of nearly zero carbon emission parks based on variable weight theory
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National Natural Science Foundation of China (71403162); Scientific Research Program of Shanghai Municipal Commission of Science and Technology (18DZ203304)

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    摘要:

    近零碳排放是低碳排放的进一步深化和落地,是不断趋向于零碳排放的动态过程。本文根据碳的形成生命周期为核心将低碳园区分成智慧型园区和生态型园区,从规划、近零碳技术、碳排放管理、环境健康四个要素出发,同时根据园区的碳排放溯源跟踪体系,形成以能源消耗、工业生产、建筑、交通、废弃物处理、碳汇、碳排放管理、健康生活为准则层的指标体系架构。当园区处于近零碳发展的不同阶段,评价指标内部差异性也不同。常权评价方法无法反映各指标对近零碳发展的影响,进而会影响评价结果的准确性。本文将引入变权理论,构建惩罚型变权模型。将该模型应用于案例园区,通过对比常权评价和变权评价的结果可知,变权评价模型的评价结果更易区分发展等级。验证了变权评价方法更切合近零碳发展的动态性特征。

    Abstract:

    Near zero carbon emission is the further deepening and landing of low carbon emissions, and it is a dynamic process that tends to zero carbon emissions. This paper divides low-carbon parks into smart parks and ecological parks based on the life cycle of carbon formation. Starting from the four elements of planning, near-zero carbon technology, carbon emission management and environmental health, and according to the traceability tracking system of carbon emissions in the parks, the low-carbon parks are formed with energy consumption, industrial production, construction, transportation and abandonment. The index system structure of material disposal, carbon sink, carbon emission management and healthy life is the criterion level. When the park is in different stages of near zero carbon development, the internal differences of evaluation indicators are also different. Constant weight evaluation method can not reflect the impact of various indicators on near zero carbon development, which will affect the accuracy of the evaluation results. This paper will introduce the variable weight theory and construct a penalty variable weight model. By comparing the results of constant weight evaluation and variable weight evaluation, it can be seen that the evaluation results of variable weight evaluation model are easier to distinguish the development grade. It is verified that the variable weight evaluation method is more suitable for the dynamic characteristics of near zero carbon development.

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王晶晶,李琦芬,杨涌文. 基于变权理论的近零碳排放园区综合评价研究[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2021, 21(1): 334-340.
Qang Jingjing, Li Qifen, Yang Yongwen. Comprehensive evaluation of nearly zero carbon emission parks based on variable weight theory[J]. Science Technology and Engineering,2021,21(1):334-340.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-11-21
  • 最后修改日期:2020-10-14
  • 录用日期:2020-03-25
  • 在线发布日期: 2021-02-04
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