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朱兴林,温喜梅. 基于前景理论与理想解法的应急预案评估模型[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2020, 20(29): 12125-12130.
zhuxinglin,wenximei.Research on Emergency Plan Evaluation Model Based on Prospect Theory and TOPSIS Method[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2020,20(29):12125-12130.
基于前景理论与理想解法的应急预案评估模型
Research on Emergency Plan Evaluation Model Based on Prospect Theory and TOPSIS Method
投稿时间:2019-10-24  修订日期:2020-06-24
DOI:
中文关键词:  应急预案  前景理论  直觉梯形模糊数  Shapley值  TOPSIS法
英文关键词:emergency plan  prospect theory  intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy number  Shapley value  TOPSIS method
基金项目:稀疏路网下高速公路沿线应急资源点配置及调度优化
     
作者单位
朱兴林 新疆农业大学
温喜梅 新疆农业大学
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中文摘要:
      为对突发事件救援确定最优应急预案、提高救援效率。通过选取全面性、时效性、经济性、可操作性四个指标,基于前景理论以及TOPSIS法对应急预案优劣排序。首先,专家根据打分标准给出各指标下预案的属性值,并利用Shapley值集结指标;其次,利用直觉模糊熵计算各专家权重值,确定最优方案。以选择最优的应急预案为例,结果表明方法的可行性与实用性。
英文摘要:
      In order to determine the optimal emergency plan for emergency rescue and improve rescue efficiency. Four indicators of comprehensiveness, timeliness, economy and operability were selected, and the pros and cons of the emergency plan were ranked based on the prospect theory and the TOPSIS method. Firstly, the experts gave the attribute values of the plans under each indicator according to the scoring standard, and used the Shapley value to aggregate the indicators. Secondly, the intuitionistic fuzzy entropy was used to calculate the weight values of each expert to determine the optimal solution. Taking the selection of the optimal emergency plan as an example, the results show the feasibility and practicability of the method.
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